Gaskia argued that Obi’s path to securing the ADC ticket depends largely on negotiation rather than popularity.
He said Obi joined the party after other political actors had already entrenched themselves within its structures, building grassroots networks and internal influence.
According to him, without a negotiated agreement, Obi cannot rely solely on public goodwill or the Obidient movement to clinch the nomination.
He noted that alliances with influential political figures, including Atiku Abubakar, could play a decisive role in shaping the party’s final outcome. Gaskia stressed that Nigerian politics operates through structured negotiations and internal consensus, not through mass appeal alone.
Gaskia further explained that while the Obidient movement has significant visibility and enthusiasm, it does not equate to formal control within the ADC.
He said party tickets are determined by internal mechanisms, stakeholder agreements, and strategic compromises, all of which require engagement with established party leaders.
He also criticized the broader opposition space for being overly centered on personalities rather than institutions.
According to him, sustainable political success depends on well-organized parties with clear policies, internal democracy, and committed membership, not just individual popularity or online momentum.
Gaskia concluded by warning that without deliberate negotiations and strategic alliances with key political actors, even widely supported figures may struggle to convert public appeal into electoral victories.
He emphasized that in Nigeria’s political system, power is built through relationships, structure, and negotiation rather than popularity alone.
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